By Alex Nussbaum and Alex Longley
Oil closed out its worst month since the global financial crisis a decade ago, as all eyes turned to this weekend’s G-20 summit for signs that Saudi Arabia and Russia can head off a worldwide supply glut.
Crude futures made up some ground Friday after an OPEC advisory committee recommended a 1.3 million cut to the cartel’s daily output. Still, prices finished down 22 percent for November, the deepest slide since October 2008. That capped a volatile month beset by worries about booming production and the impact of international trade tensions.
Investors are now focused on the G-20 summit in Argentina, where leaders from the U.S., Russia and Saudi Arabia — the world’s three biggest oil producers — will gather in a prelude to a key OPEC meeting next week in Vienna. Russian Energy Minister Alexander Novak said earlier on Friday that he was comfortable with prices where they currently are, adding to uncertainty about what top oil exporters can agree on.
“You’re going to have a ballet and concert of various statements that are either contradictory or reinforcing leading up to the OPEC meeting,” said Harry Tchilinguirian, head of commodity markets strategy at BNP Paribas in London. “It’s the kind of to-and-fro that creates volatility because people’s expectations can’t be anchored.”
West Texas Intermediate for January delivery fell 52 cents, or 1 percent, to $50.93 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange Friday.
Brent crude for February settlement dropped 45 cents to $59.46 on London’s ICE Futures Europe exchange. The January contract for the global benchmark, which expired Friday, traded at a $7.78 premium to WTI for the same month.
Russian and Saudi officials are scheduled to meet in Moscow over the weekend, signaling that an agreement on production cuts is possible if talks between Russian President Vladimir Putin and Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman go well in Argentina, according to people briefed on the discussions.
“As things stand, the Russians and Saudis are still far from being on the same page over the finer details of looming output restrictions,” Stephen Brennock, an analyst at PVM Oil Associates in London, wrote in a report. “Against this backdrop, the most likely outcome of next week’s OPEC meeting is a fudge.”
This article has been written by Alex Nussbaum and Alex Longley.
Stay updated with all the insights.
Navigate news, 1 email day.
Subscribe to Qrius